How safe is investing in South Africa right now?


Leigh Riley | Wealth Manager | AlphaWealth | mail me |









Greg Strachan | Wealth Manager | AlphaWealth | mail me

The 2020 Global Wealth Migration Review cited that an estimated 4,000 of South Africa’s highest net worth individuals – worth R17 million or more – have left the country over the past ten years.

Wealth migration data such as this report is said to serve as a clear indicator of the health of the economy.

However, these statistics do not necessarily mean that it is no longer safe to invest in South Africa. The local investment landscape is shifting, but these changes should be taken in context and not seen as the ‘death spiral’ of the local economy.

These shifts present opportunities for fresh thinking and new strategies around investments.

Lowered interest rates  around the globe are having a significant impact on investment strategies and Riley cautions that it’s important to be realistic about one’s returns. Take emotion out of the equation when determining your investment strategy.

Start by asking yourself, ‘what am I trying to achieve with this investment?’ Identify that objective and constantly re-evaluate your income strategies to ensure that they are aligned.

Clearly evaluating the opportunity, the risk, the costs involved and additional options such as diversifying offshore rather than being scare-mongered into irrational decision-making.

Understanding your investment decisions and feeling comfortable with them is as important to the process as the asset allocation itself.

Time to diversify your investments?

When it comes to choosing between allocating assets locally versus offshore, there is no clear victor.

Rather than favouring one approach, it’s best to take a diversified approach to both local and global assets.

Allocating assets both locally and abroad is a key element of portfolio construction. Whether this exposure is achieved with physical offshore assets or through locally based unit trusts is another important consideration.

While some firms may recommend that a set percentage of their client’s assets to be allocated offshore, we caution that this should be determined on a client-by-client basis.

We firmly believe in matching your assets and your liabilities in the same currency. Following this, surplus capital, or capital in excess of what is required to meet these liabilities, can then be externalised into ‘hard currency’.

This approach ensures that the allocation to offshore assets either in hard currency or via rand-denominated offshore unit trusts is determined by the specific outcomes required for the client – rather than investing with a specific percentage in mind.

Tips for building a diversified portfolio

We share a few of their practical tips for investing:

  • Conduct your own research. It is easy to get caught up in the mayhem of the moment and let fear be your overwhelming guide when deciding where to put your money – don’t let that happen.
  • Be wary of social media and fearmongering. Take a step back and try and understand what factors may be contributing to the situation, and if that source may be trying to further a certain agenda. This will help you to identify opportunities that others might be missing.
  • Listen to the experts. Engage with industry commentators whose opinion you trust (we’d always recommend consulting a licensed financial advisor) and use their insights to make an informed decision.
  • Understand your short, medium and long-term investment objectives.  Investment horizons together with your objective influence the amount of risk/volatility your portfolio can withstand. This then determines how much exposure you should have to any one asset classes (of which offshore assets are classified)
  • Diversify your exposure. Through both local and offshore asset allocations you are able to diversify your portfolio and  therefore able to spread risk.
  • Consider your assets objectively. Too often, we see investors making the common mistake of buying investments based on the assumption that current market conditions will continue. The market is unpredictable, don’t be swayed by past events.



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