Assets & Investments

There's a peculiar kind of blindness that sets in when a constraint disappears. You keep solving for it anyway. You build institutions around it, develop disciplines to manage it, hire people whose entire expertise is navigating it. The constraint becomes invisible and not because it's gone, but because it's been so thoroughly baked into how you operate that questioning it feels like questioning gravity.

Our philosophy has not changed; the environment in which we execute it has. For over two decades, our investment philosophy has been grounded in a simple principle. High-quality companies that can reliably grow dividends tend to deliver more predictable long-term outcomes. This principle remains the foundation of how we invest. However, the environment in which we apply this philosophy has changed.

For the better part of a decade, the property conversation in South Africa has followed a predictable pattern. The Western Cape leads. The Cape Town market outperforms. Semigrants head south. Foreign buyers favour the Atlantic Seaboard. Meanwhile, everyone else watches from the sidelines. However, that narrative is shifting.

For years, a familiar narrative has shaped our understanding of South African consumers. It suggests they are over-indebted, under-saving and prone to conspicuous consumption. Statistics often reinforce this view. These include low household savings rates, rising unsecured lending and high levels of personal debt. On the surface, the conclusion seems obvious. However, it remains incomplete.

Retirement planning is often framed as a question of how much you save. Most people contribute to a Maximising. However, very few understand how to use it strategically. For many investors, retirement annuities function as a routine savings vehicle. People contribute consistently without considering the structural role these products play in a broader wealth strategy.

Read our exclusive cover story titled The innovation factory – built for famine, not a feast? by Lauren Drake, Co-founder & Director, FiftyKnots, plus a host of other topical management articles written by professionals, consultants and academics.

The 2026 Budget Speech, delivered by Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana in February 2026, has generally been described as a “good news” budget. At a macro level, the strides toward fiscal consolidation are notable. Additionally, the increase in VAT for Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) reflects a shift in revenue strategy. These developments support key socio-economic measures, including employment.

Despite recent diplomatic peace efforts from the US, the US-Israel war on Iran has now entered its fourth week. As a result, the situation remains extremely volatile. Moreover, ongoing Middle East tensions continue to heighten uncertainty across global markets. As the days pass, the risk of a stagflationary environment increases. In this scenario, low growth and high inflation occur simultaneously.

South Africa’s economic environment has rarely felt straightforward. However, right now it feels particularly layered. Global trade tensions, domestic fiscal pressures and stubborn unemployment figures have left many buyers and investors hesitant. As a result, they often wonder whether to act or wait. In my experience, hesitation is often where opportunity quietly disappears.

Despite the private capital industry’s proven track record, many investors still view Private Equity (PE) and Venture Capital (VC) as inherently risky investments. However, this perception does not fully reflect how private capital markets actually function. This conversation around risk in private capital markets is long overdue for reframing. Risk in private capital markets differs fundamentally from that experienced in public markets.