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Diversification remains key when uncertainty lies ahead

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As we settle into the second half of 2026, global market returns continue to reflect themes pulling markets in different directions. There has been an almost unprecedented combination of geopolitical tension, volatile oil prices, persistent inflation and uncertainty over interest rates. Added to this are the extraordinary gains delivered by Artificial Intelligence (AI). These gains have become concentrated in a small number of large companies.

Think, prepare, respond – resilience beyond crisis management

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Today’s business environment is no longer defined by a single shock but by overlapping geopolitical and economic disruptions reshaping the macroeconomic landscape. Businesses are operating amid a polycrisis, where conflict, trade tensions, inflationary pressure and supply chain instability continue to reinforce uncertainty.

A geopolitical risk investment strategy for emerging markets

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Investors have a limited edge in predicting geopolitical outcomes. Our value-add lies in assessing the relative economic exposure of different countries. It also lies in judging what the market has priced into different sectors and determining how to allocate risk accordingly within a geopolitical risk investment strategy.

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