Tag: recession

Forecasting economic and market variables is inherently difficult. Forecasting is tough. Research suggests that only 23% of professional forecasts prove accurate. Add in US policy uncertainty - President Trump signed a flurry of executive orders on his first day in office. As a result, predicting the outlook for the global economy becomes even more challenging than usual.

The current pace and flux of geopolitics continue to disrupt markets, keeping investors worldwide on tenterhooks. The US/China relationship, in particular, is the most consequential bilateral relationship in the world. In a way, it is the axis around which other global events are turning.

While inflation is moving steadily lower, we believe the secular shifts of deglobalisation, decarbonisation, and demographic change – the "3D Reset" - will keep inflation and interest rates higher for longer. With the added challenge of geopolitical conflicts, many investors are reassessing their private equity allocation. But almost every year since 2008 has involved a crisis for investors in private equity.

South Africa narrowly escaped a technical recession, according to the latest figures released by Stats SA in early March. Recession or no recession, growth is just not high enough to improve economic conditions and coupled with record interest rates and increasing prices at the fuel pump and grocery store, South Africans are under pressure.

One of the outcomes of the latest issue to swap the world – low growth, high interest rates and the threats of recessions – which will remain a driver for the growth of new ways of working and alternative business models for many years to come, is the increasing development of the side gig economy.

Our research explores the differing relationships between a country’s economy and the earnings growth of its stock market. Ongoing talk of the risk of recessions is prompting questions about the strength of the relationship between economic growth and corporate earnings.

Prepare to have your mind blown as I reveal the captivating secrets behind the mesmerising art of mentalism. With my expert insights and years of experience, I take you on a journey through the history and mind-bending techniques that continue to leave audiences questioning the limits of human perception and belief.

The global economy is facing challenges on many fronts, with inflation and recession becoming the words of the day. As a result, budgets that are always tight (like IT) are under even more scrutiny than before. Any unnecessary spending needs to be curtailed, for obvious reasons, but does data management fall into this category?

As South Africa’s electricity crisis worsens, accompanied by increased interest rates, food and petrol prices, the country's potential to enter a recession rises exponentially. As most economists have noted, South Africa presently falls short on both micro and macroeconomic benchmarks, from exports and imports to infrastructure development and ballooning interest rates.

Significant uncertainty, marked by rampant inflation, fears of a looming recession and growing geopolitical risk, clouds the near-term global outlook. The knee-jerk reaction is to retreat to safe assets and preserve capital until the storm has blown over.