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Strong rebound, but growth momentum expected to slow

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Real growth in GDP for the third quarter of 2020 surprised the market consensus to the upside in line with a further relaxation in lockdown restrictions on mobility and activity. Growth surged by 66.1% q/q saar in the quarter and exceeded the November 2020 Reuters Econometer median growth forecast of 34.6% q/q saar.

SARB rate cut: support for economy weakened by COVID-19

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The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) once again unanimously voted in favour of lowering the repo rate this month, although 2 out of the 5 members preferred a shallower cut. In a vote of 3 to 2, the MPC decided to lower the repo rate by 50bp to 3.75%.

SARB rate cut: keeping inflation stable and offering some relief

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The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) unanimously decided to decrease the repo rate by 100 basis points to 5.25%. This somewhat unprecedented move was a direct result of the deterioration in economic conditions due to the COVID-19 pandemic experienced in South Africa and across the globe.

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