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With the elections now largely behind us, investors’ focus will shift to President Cyril Ramaphosa’s ability and political will in addressing issues of concern, namely: the composition of cabinet to be announced on the 28th of May, transforming the economy with the promised policy reform and resolving the problem that Eskom poses to South Africa.
The Q4 2018 GDP growth numbers are encouraging in light of the tough environment that we have just emerged from. Given that we came out of a technical recession in 2018, the turnaround to see positive growth for the full year is heartening. And while it may still not be enough to address many of our structural issues, the positive signs are likely to keep the rating agencies at bay.
In fact, this aversion to the loss of money is so significant it has become the subject of a substantial number of studies. The 'pain' that is felt when people lose money is stronger than the 'joy' of a gain. And it is even more pronounced when a person has worked hard to build their capital base, often through diligent behaviour and determination, over many years – possibly even a lifetime.
In 1982, Forbes Magazine in the United States published its now renowned list of the 400 wealthiest Americans for the first time, ranked by their net worth. Twenty-one years later, JP Morgan conducted a study to examine the list and determine which families remained amongst the country’s wealthiest. The result was astonishing: