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The 2026-2027 El Niño cycle – building resilience ahead

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With El Niño conditions now established, the latest climate risk assessments suggest Southern African agriculture is better prepared for the period ahead. El Niño conditions have now formed in the Pacific Ocean. Climate forecasters indicate a high probability that the event could strengthen significantly over the coming months. Moreover, the existing fragile environment and market conditions make this El Niño event even more worrying.

Weathering the risks – can farmers survive an unpredictable climate?

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Recent severe weather events across South Africa have once again highlighted the agricultural sector's growing exposure to climate-related risks. While hail has historically been one of the most visible threats, farmers increasingly face a combination of hazards. These include strong winds, heavy rainfall, localised flooding and unseasonal weather patterns. Often, these hazards occur within the same production cycle.

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